India's Education Data - Revision history

AltheaDitter at 17:34, 19 May 2017

2017-05-19T17:34:13Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 17:34, 19 May 2017
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	Secondary net enrollment of students was found in a [[Human_Development_Report_of_India\|Human Development Report of India]] and there is data for 1981 and 1991. This series is dated and needs an update.		Secondary net enrollment of students was found in a [[Human_Development_Report_of_India\|Human Development Report of India]] and there is data for 1981 and 1991. This series is dated and needs an update.

	[[File:India EdSecEnrNetTotal v728.jpg\|RTENOTITLE]]The model behavior for this series is ~~strange~~ where all state's net enrollments are forced to 67% when the model begins its forecasts in 2014. This model behavior is similar in China's sub-regional model, where the net enrollment rates are forced to 0% in 2014. However, this unexpected behavior does not appear to occur throughout the 186-model. Although a data update is absolutely necessary for better model performance, this issue of model behavior needs addressed directly and a data update will not remedy this issue.		[[File:India EdSecEnrNetTotal v728.jpg\|RTENOTITLE]]

			The model behavior for this series is unexpected, where all state's net enrollments are forced to 67% when the model begins its forecasts in 2014. This model behavior is similar in China's sub-regional model, where the net enrollment rates are forced to 0% in 2014. However, this unexpected behavior does not appear to occur throughout the 186-model. Although a data update is absolutely necessary for better model performance, this issue of model behavior needs addressed directly and a data update will not remedy this issue.

	= EdSecUpperEnrollGross%Female =		= EdSecUpperEnrollGross%Female =

AltheaDitter at 16:57, 19 May 2017

2017-05-19T16:57:01Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 16:57, 19 May 2017
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	Tertiary gross enrollment of males was found in a [[Draft_Report_of_Working_Group_on_Higher_Education_11th_Five_Year_Plan_Planning_Commission\|Draft Report of Working Group on Higher Education 11th Five Year Plan Planning Commission]]. This series only has data for 2000.		Tertiary gross enrollment of males was found in a [[Draft_Report_of_Working_Group_on_Higher_Education_11th_Five_Year_Plan_Planning_Commission\|Draft Report of Working Group on Higher Education 11th Five Year Plan Planning Commission]]. This series only has data for 2000.

			[[File:India EdTerEnrGrossMale v728.jpg]]

			The historical data is identical to the first year of forecast data in 2014. This suggests that a data update would be desirable to improve model performance because the model reads the data from the most recent year for model initialization. The behavior of the forecasts for this series is concerning because there are some dramatic shifts among unexpected states. These shifts are most significant in Himachal Pradesh (pink triangles), Daman and Diu (yellow xs), and Chhatisgarh (dark blue triangles).

	This series is outdated and there is more recent data available at the [[Ministry_of_Statistics_and_Programme_Implementation\|Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation]] website in the ''Statistical Yearbook of India'' for 2016 in the ''Education'' section.		This series is outdated and there is more recent data available at the [[Ministry_of_Statistics_and_Programme_Implementation\|Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation]] website in the ''Statistical Yearbook of India'' for 2016 in the ''Education'' section.

AltheaDitter at 16:47, 19 May 2017

2017-05-19T16:47:33Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 16:47, 19 May 2017
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	Tertiary gross enrollment of females was found in a [[Draft_Report_of_Working_Group_on_Higher_Education_11th_Five_Year_Plan_Planning_Commission\|Draft Report of Working Group on Higher Education 11th Five Year Plan Planning Commission]]. This series only has data for 2000.		Tertiary gross enrollment of females was found in a [[Draft_Report_of_Working_Group_on_Higher_Education_11th_Five_Year_Plan_Planning_Commission\|Draft Report of Working Group on Higher Education 11th Five Year Plan Planning Commission]]. This series only has data for 2000.

	[[File:India edTerEnrGrossFemale v728.jpg]]		[[File:India edTerEnrGrossFemale v728.jpg\|RTENOTITLE]]

	Most states have the same value in 2014 as they do in 2000. However, there are a few states that have a significant decline between the 2000 historical data point and the 2014 forecast data point (Chandigarh, Delhi, and Nagaland). The forecasts seem off because there are some states that consistently have low educational achievements that are forecast to improve dramatically. For instance, Aruchanal Pradesh starts off at about 40% female tertiary enrollment (which seems too high) and this is forecast to be 100% by 2030. Then the state drops back down to around 80% through the end of the time horizon. These shifts are too dramatic and inconsistent.		Most states have the same value in 2014 as they do in 2000. However, there are a few states that have a significant decline between the 2000 historical data point and the 2014 forecast data point (Chandigarh, Delhi, and Nagaland). The forecasts seem off because there are some states that consistently have low educational achievements that are forecast to improve dramatically. For instance, Aruchanal Pradesh starts off at about 40% female tertiary enrollment (which seems too high) and this is forecast to be 100% by 2030. Then the state drops back down to around 80% through the end of the time horizon. These shifts are too dramatic and inconsistent.



	This series is outdated and there is more recent data available at the [[Ministry_of_Statistics_and_Programme_Implementation\|Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation]] website in the ''Statistical Yearbook of India'' for 2016 in the ''Education'' section.		This series is outdated and there is more recent data available at the [[Ministry_of_Statistics_and_Programme_Implementation\|Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation]] website in the ''Statistical Yearbook of India'' for 2016 in the ''Education'' section.

AltheaDitter at 16:47, 19 May 2017

2017-05-19T16:47:18Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 16:47, 19 May 2017
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	Tertiary gross enrollment of females was found in a [[Draft_Report_of_Working_Group_on_Higher_Education_11th_Five_Year_Plan_Planning_Commission\|Draft Report of Working Group on Higher Education 11th Five Year Plan Planning Commission]]. This series only has data for 2000.		Tertiary gross enrollment of females was found in a [[Draft_Report_of_Working_Group_on_Higher_Education_11th_Five_Year_Plan_Planning_Commission\|Draft Report of Working Group on Higher Education 11th Five Year Plan Planning Commission]]. This series only has data for 2000.

			[[File:India edTerEnrGrossFemale v728.jpg]]

			Most states have the same value in 2014 as they do in 2000. However, there are a few states that have a significant decline between the 2000 historical data point and the 2014 forecast data point (Chandigarh, Delhi, and Nagaland). The forecasts seem off because there are some states that consistently have low educational achievements that are forecast to improve dramatically. For instance, Aruchanal Pradesh starts off at about 40% female tertiary enrollment (which seems too high) and this is forecast to be 100% by 2030. Then the state drops back down to around 80% through the end of the time horizon. These shifts are too dramatic and inconsistent.

AltheaDitter at 16:35, 19 May 2017

2017-05-19T16:35:27Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 16:35, 19 May 2017
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	Tertiary gross enrollment of females was found in a [[Draft_Report_of_Working_Group_on_Higher_Education_11th_Five_Year_Plan_Planning_Commission\|Draft Report of Working Group on Higher Education 11th Five Year Plan Planning Commission]]. This series only has data for 2000.		Tertiary gross enrollment of females was found in a [[Draft_Report_of_Working_Group_on_Higher_Education_11th_Five_Year_Plan_Planning_Commission\|Draft Report of Working Group on Higher Education 11th Five Year Plan Planning Commission]]. This series only has data for 2000.



	This series is outdated and there is more recent data available at the [[Ministry_of_Statistics_and_Programme_Implementation\|Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation]] website in the ''Statistical Yearbook of India'' for 2016 in the ''Education'' section.		This series is outdated and there is more recent data available at the [[Ministry_of_Statistics_and_Programme_Implementation\|Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation]] website in the ''Statistical Yearbook of India'' for 2016 in the ''Education'' section.

AltheaDitter at 16:34, 19 May 2017

2017-05-19T16:34:42Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 16:34, 19 May 2017
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	= EdSecUpperEnrollGross%Male =		= EdSecUpperEnrollGross%Male =

	Upper secondary gross enrollment for males was found in a [[Ministry_of_Human_Resource_Development,_Government_of_India,_Annual_Report\|Ministry of Human Resource Development, Government of India, Annual Report]]. The data has not been ~~verifiend~~ from previous model versions and the original data source has not been found. There is data for only 2004.		Upper secondary gross enrollment for males was found in a [[Ministry_of_Human_Resource_Development,_Government_of_India,_Annual_Report\|Ministry of Human Resource Development, Government of India, Annual Report]]. The data has not been verified from previous model versions and the original data source has not been found. There is data for only 2004.

			[[File:India EdUpSecEnrMale v728.jpg]]

			The first year of forecasts in 2014 has the same value as the historical data point. A data update would improve model initialization because it appears that the model will use the most recent data rather than some form of estimation for forecasts. The model smoothly forecasts an increase to upper secondary enrollment rates through the end of the time horizon. Females are forecast to have higher upper secondary enrollment rates than males which is consistent with the historical data, but is surprising for India.

	= EdTerEnrollGross%Female =		= EdTerEnrollGross%Female =

AltheaDitter at 16:28, 19 May 2017

2017-05-19T16:28:28Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 16:28, 19 May 2017
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	Upper secondary gross enrollment for females was found in a [[Ministry_of_Human_Resource_Development,_Government_of_India,_Annual_Report\|Ministry of Human Resource Development, Government of India, Annual Report]]. The data has not been verified from previous model versions and the original data source has not been found. There is data for only 2004 and needs updated.		Upper secondary gross enrollment for females was found in a [[Ministry_of_Human_Resource_Development,_Government_of_India,_Annual_Report\|Ministry of Human Resource Development, Government of India, Annual Report]]. The data has not been verified from previous model versions and the original data source has not been found. There is data for only 2004 and needs updated.

	[[File:India EdUpSecEnrFemale v728.jpg]]		[[File:India EdUpSecEnrFemale v728.jpg\|RTENOTITLE]]

			All states have the same value in 2014 as what they have in 2004, which suggests that a data updated is needed because the model reads the most recent data point and uses it for model initialization in 2014 for this series. The forecasts show a steady increase in enrollments where states approach 100% enrollment, but many states do not reach full enrollment.

	= EdSecUpperEnrollGross%Male =		= EdSecUpperEnrollGross%Male =

AltheaDitter at 16:22, 19 May 2017

2017-05-19T16:22:40Z

AltheaDitter at 16:15, 19 May 2017

2017-05-19T16:15:38Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 16:15, 19 May 2017
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	= EdSecEnrollGross%Total =		= EdSecEnrollGross%Total =

	Secondary gross enrollment of all students was found in a [[Ministry_of_Human_Resource_Development,_Government_of_India,_Annual_Report\|Ministry of Human Resource Development, Government of India, Annual Report]]. The data has not been ~~verifiend~~ from previous model versions and the original data source has not been found. There is data for only 2004.		Secondary gross enrollment of all students was found in a [[Ministry_of_Human_Resource_Development,_Government_of_India,_Annual_Report\|Ministry of Human Resource Development, Government of India, Annual Report]]. The data has not been verified from previous model versions and the original data source has not been found. There is data for only 2004.

	[[File:India EdSecEnrGrossTotal v728.jpg]]Himachal Pradesh has the second highest secondary gross enrollment rate historically and it is forecast to be the highest through the end of the time horizon, although it will steadily decline to 100% around 2040. The significant drop between the historical data and the beginning of the forecasts in 2014 is consistent with what occurs in the female and male rates.		[[File:India EdSecEnrGrossTotal v728.jpg\|RTENOTITLE]]Himachal Pradesh has the second highest secondary gross enrollment rate historically and it is forecast to be the highest through the end of the time horizon, although it will steadily decline to 100% around 2040. The significant drop between the historical data and the beginning of the forecasts in 2014 is consistent with what occurs in the female and male rates.

	= EdSecEnrollNet =		= EdSecEnrollNet =

AltheaDitter at 16:15, 19 May 2017

2017-05-19T16:15:18Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 16:15, 19 May 2017
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	= EdSecEnrollNet =		= EdSecEnrollNet =

	Secondary net enrollment of students was found in a [[Human_Development_Report_of_India\|Human Development Report of India]] and there is data for 1981 and 1991.		Secondary net enrollment of students was found in a [[Human_Development_Report_of_India\|Human Development Report of India]] and there is data for 1981 and 1991. This series is dated and needs an update.

			[[File:India EdSecEnrNetTotal v728.jpg]]The model behavior for this series is strange where all state's net enrollments are forced to 67% when the model begins its forecasts in 2014. This model behavior is similar in China's sub-regional model, where the net enrollment rates are forced to 0% in 2014. However, this unexpected behavior does not appear to occur throughout the 186-model. Although a data update is absolutely necessary for better model performance, this issue of model behavior needs addressed directly and a data update will not remedy this issue.

	= EdSecUpperEnrollGross%Female =		= EdSecUpperEnrollGross%Female =

← Older revision		Revision as of 16:22, 19 May 2017
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	Primary gross enrollment of female students was found in the [[Ministry_of_Human_Resource_Development,_Government_of_India,_Annual_Report\|Ministry of Human Resource Development, Government of India, Annual Report]]. The data has not been verified from prevous model versions and the original source was insufficiently cited and has not been found again. The series has data for only 2004 and needs updated.		Primary gross enrollment of female students was found in the [[Ministry_of_Human_Resource_Development,_Government_of_India,_Annual_Report\|Ministry of Human Resource Development, Government of India, Annual Report]]. The data has not been verified from prevous model versions and the original source was insufficiently cited and has not been found again. The series has data for only 2004 and needs updated.

	[[File:India EdPriEnrGrossFemale v728.jpg]]		[[File:India EdPriEnrGrossFemale v728.jpg\|RTENOTITLE]]

	Gross enrollments for females are over 100% in most of India's states. Lakshadweep has the lowest gross enrollment which is forecast to increase rapidly and then decline after students get on grade level.		Gross enrollments for females are over 100% in most of India's states. Lakshadweep has the lowest gross enrollment which is forecast to increase rapidly and then decline after students get on grade level.
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	Primary gross enrollment of all students was found in the [[Ministry_of_Human_Resource_Development,_Government_of_India,_Annual_Report\|Ministry of Human Resource Development, Government of India, Annual Report]]. The data has not been verified from prevous model versions and the original source has not been found. The series has data for only 2004 and needs updated.		Primary gross enrollment of all students was found in the [[Ministry_of_Human_Resource_Development,_Government_of_India,_Annual_Report\|Ministry of Human Resource Development, Government of India, Annual Report]]. The data has not been verified from prevous model versions and the original source has not been found. The series has data for only 2004 and needs updated.

	[[File:India EdPriEnrGrossTtl v728.jpg]]The model behavior for the total primary education gross enrollment looks good because all states smoothly approach 100% enrollments. States that have a low starting point increase to well above 100% as students that are behind in their education catch up. This occurs most notably in Lakshadweep, which starts at about 60% total enrollments.		[[File:India EdPriEnrGrossTtl v728.jpg\|RTENOTITLE]]The model behavior for the total primary education gross enrollment looks good because all states smoothly approach 100% enrollments. States that have a low starting point increase to well above 100% as students that are behind in their education catch up. This occurs most notably in Lakshadweep, which starts at about 60% total enrollments.

	This series could be updated with data that is available from the [[Ministry_of_Planning\|Ministry of Planning]] that has a report of education enrollment in 2011. There may be a more recent report available to update this series with, but it has not be located.		This series could be updated with data that is available from the [[Ministry_of_Planning\|Ministry of Planning]] that has a report of education enrollment in 2011. There may be a more recent report available to update this series with, but it has not be located.
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	= EdSecEnrollGross%Male =		= EdSecEnrollGross%Male =

	Secondary gross enrollment of male students was found in a [[Ministry_of_Human_Resource_Development,_Government_of_India,_Annual_Report\|Ministry of Human Resource Development, Government of India, Annual Report]]. The data has not been ~~verifiend~~ from previous model versions and the original data source has not been found. There is data for only 2004.		Secondary gross enrollment of male students was found in a [[Ministry_of_Human_Resource_Development,_Government_of_India,_Annual_Report\|Ministry of Human Resource Development, Government of India, Annual Report]]. The data has not been verified from previous model versions and the original data source has not been found. There is data for only 2004.

	[[File:India EdSecEnrGrossMale v728.jpg]]Like the female secondary gross enrollments there is a significant drop in many states between the historical data and the forecasts. The most significant drop is in Aruchanal Pradesh which decreases by nearly 50%. Lakshadweep is ranked in the middle which is surprising because the union territory has the lowest primary gross enrollment rates historically.		[[File:India EdSecEnrGrossMale v728.jpg\|RTENOTITLE]]Like the female secondary gross enrollments there is a significant drop in many states between the historical data and the forecasts. The most significant drop is in Aruchanal Pradesh which decreases by nearly 50%. Lakshadweep is ranked in the middle which is surprising because the union territory has the lowest primary gross enrollment rates historically.

	= EdSecEnrollGross%Total =		= EdSecEnrollGross%Total =
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	Secondary net enrollment of students was found in a [[Human_Development_Report_of_India\|Human Development Report of India]] and there is data for 1981 and 1991. This series is dated and needs an update.		Secondary net enrollment of students was found in a [[Human_Development_Report_of_India\|Human Development Report of India]] and there is data for 1981 and 1991. This series is dated and needs an update.

	[[File:India EdSecEnrNetTotal v728.jpg]]The model behavior for this series is strange where all state's net enrollments are forced to 67% when the model begins its forecasts in 2014. This model behavior is similar in China's sub-regional model, where the net enrollment rates are forced to 0% in 2014. However, this unexpected behavior does not appear to occur throughout the 186-model. Although a data update is absolutely necessary for better model performance, this issue of model behavior needs addressed directly and a data update will not remedy this issue.		[[File:India EdSecEnrNetTotal v728.jpg\|RTENOTITLE]]The model behavior for this series is strange where all state's net enrollments are forced to 67% when the model begins its forecasts in 2014. This model behavior is similar in China's sub-regional model, where the net enrollment rates are forced to 0% in 2014. However, this unexpected behavior does not appear to occur throughout the 186-model. Although a data update is absolutely necessary for better model performance, this issue of model behavior needs addressed directly and a data update will not remedy this issue.

	= EdSecUpperEnrollGross%Female =		= EdSecUpperEnrollGross%Female =

	Upper secondary gross enrollment for females was found in a [[Ministry_of_Human_Resource_Development,_Government_of_India,_Annual_Report\|Ministry of Human Resource Development, Government of India, Annual Report]]. The data has not been ~~verifiend~~ from previous model versions and the original data source has not been found. There is data for only 2004.		Upper secondary gross enrollment for females was found in a [[Ministry_of_Human_Resource_Development,_Government_of_India,_Annual_Report\|Ministry of Human Resource Development, Government of India, Annual Report]]. The data has not been verified from previous model versions and the original data source has not been found. There is data for only 2004 and needs updated.

			[[File:India EdUpSecEnrFemale v728.jpg]]

	= EdSecUpperEnrollGross%Male =		= EdSecUpperEnrollGross%Male =