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| <math>SFINTLWAR_{r,t}=((0.1420+0.0012*INFMOR_{r,t}-0.0006*TRADEOPEN_{r,t})+F(POLITYDEMOC_{r,t},YTHBULGE_{r,t},GDPMA_{r,t},SFINTLWARMA_{r,t}))*\mathbf{sfintlwarm}_{r,t}</math> | | if <math>\mathbf{sfusehist}=0 </math> then (no history) <math>SFINSTABALL_{r,t}=PredictedTerm_{r,t}</math> |
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| where | | where |
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| <math>TRADEOPEN_{r,t}=(X_{r,t}+M_{r,t})/GDP_{r,t} | | <math>PredictedTerm_{r,t}=ANALFUNC(GDPPCP_{r,t},DemocTerm_t,InfMorTerm_t,TradeTerm_t, Educ25Term_t)</math> |
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| | <math>DemocTerm=DemoPolity_r</math> |
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| | <math>InfMorTerm=\frac{INFMOR_r}{WINFMOR}</math> |
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| | <math>TradeTerm=\frac{X_r+M_r}{GDP}*100</math> |
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| | <math>Educ25Term=EDYRSAG25_r |
Revision as of 16:37, 8 June 2017
if 
then (no history) 
where
<math>Educ25Term=EDYRSAG25_r