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if <math>\mathbf{sfusehist}=0 </math> then (no history) <math>SFINSTABALL_{r,t}=PredictedTerm_{r,t}</math>
if <math>\mathbf{sfusehist}=1</math> then (use history)  
 
<math>SFINSTABALL_{r,t}=\frac{PredictedTerm_{f,t}}{PredictedTerm_{f,t=1}}*\mathbf{SFINSTABALL}_{r,t=1}</math>


where
where


<math>PredictedTerm_{r,t}=ANALFUNC(GDPPCP_{r,t},DemocTerm_t,InfMorTerm_t,TradeTerm_t, Educ25Term_t)</math>
<math>PredictedTerm_{r,t}=ANALFUNC(GDPPCP_{r,t},DemocTerm_t,InfMorTerm_t,TradeTerm_t,Educ25Term_t)</math>


<math>DemocTerm=DemoPolity_r</math>
<math>DemocTerm=DemoPolity_r</math>
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<math>TradeTerm=\frac{X_r+M_r}{GDP}*100</math>
<math>TradeTerm=\frac{X_r+M_r}{GDP}*100</math>


<math>Educ25Term=EDYRSAG25_r
<math>Educ25Term=EDYRSAG25_r</math>

Revision as of 16:42, 8 June 2017

if then (use history)

where