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Line 1: Line 1:
if <math>\mathbf{sfusehist}=0</math> then (no history)
if <math>\mathbf{sfusehist}=1</math> then (use history)


<math>SFINSTABALL^t_{\gamma}=PredictedTerm^t_{\gamma}</math>
<math>SFINSTABALL^t_{\gamma}=\frac{PredictedTerm^t_f}{PredictedTerm^{t-1}_f}*\mathbf{SFINSTABALL}^{t-1}_{\gamma}</math>


where
where


<math>PredictedTerm^t_{\gamma}=ANALFUN(GDPPCP^t_{\gamma},DemocTerm^t,InfMorTerm^t,TradeTerm^t,Educ25Term^t)</math>
<math>PredictedTerm=ANALFUN(GDPPCP^t_{\gamma},DemocTerm^t,InfMorTerm^t,TradeTerm^t,Educ25Term^t)</math>


<math>DemocTerm=DemoPolity_{\gamma}</math>
<math>DemocTerm=DemoPolity_{\gamma}</math>
Line 13: Line 13:
<math>TradeTerm=\frac{X_{\gamma}+M_{\gamma}}{GDP}*100</math>
<math>TradeTerm=\frac{X_{\gamma}+M_{\gamma}}{GDP}*100</math>


<math>Educ25Term=EDYRSAG25_{\gamma}
<math>Educ25Term=EDYRSAG25_{\gamma}</math>

Revision as of 20:41, 14 June 2017

if 𝐬𝐟𝐮𝐬𝐞𝐡𝐢𝐬𝐭=1 then (use history)

SFINSTABALLγt=PredictedTermftPredictedTermft1*𝐒𝐅𝐈𝐍𝐒𝐓𝐀𝐁𝐀𝐋𝐋γt1

where

PredictedTerm=ANALFUN(GDPPCPγt,DemocTermt,InfMorTermt,TradeTermt,Educ25Termt)

DemocTerm=DemoPolityγ

InfMorTerm=INFMORγWINFMOR

TradeTerm=Xγ+MγGDP*100

Educ25Term=EDYRSAG25γ