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if

$T h r e a t I P r e d B a s e_{a c t, t a y} > 0$

then

$T h r e a t I P r e d_{a c t, t a y} = T h r e a t I P r e d B a s e_{a c t, t a y} + P o w e r T r a n T e r m I_{a c t, t a y} + A l l y I_{a c t, t a y} + D e m o c T e r m M i n_{a c t, t a y} + D e m o c T e r m D i s t_{a c t, t a y}$

where

$P o w e r T r a n T e r m I_{a c t, t a y} = A n a l F u n c (P O W E R_{a c t}, P O W E R_{t a y}, 𝐰 𝐩 𝐩 𝐨 𝐰 𝐭 𝐫 𝐚 𝐧 𝟏, 𝐰 𝐩 𝐩 𝐨 𝐰 𝐭 𝐫 𝐚 𝐧 𝟐)$

$A l l y I_{a c t, t a y} = A L L Y_{a c t, t a y} * 𝐰 𝐩 𝐚 𝐥 𝐥 𝐲$

$D e m o c T e r m M i n_{a c t, t a y} = A m i n (D E M O C P O L I T Y_{a c t}, D E M O C P O L I T Y_{t a r}) * 𝐰 𝐩 𝐝 𝐞 𝐦 𝐦 𝐢 𝐧$

<math>DemocTermDist_{act,tay}=(DEMOCPOLITY_{act}-DEMOCPOLITY_{tar})*\mathbf{wpdemdist}

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