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$S w i n g E f f e c t s_{r, t} = t i m e a d j * {𝐬 𝐰 𝐢 𝐧 𝐠 𝐬 𝐭 𝐬 𝐝 𝐞 𝐦}_{r = S w i n g e r, p = 1} * (W D e m o c_{t - 1} - D E M O C P O L I T Y_{r = S w i n g e e, t - 1} + t i m a d j * 𝐬 𝐰 𝐢 𝐧 𝐠 𝐬 𝐭 𝐝 𝐞 m_{𝐫 = 𝐒 𝐰 𝐢 𝐧 𝐠 𝐞 𝐫, 𝐩 = 𝟐} * (D E M O C P O L I T Y_{r = S w i n g e r, t - 1} - D E M O C P O L I T Y_{r = S w i n g e e, t - 1}) + t i m a d j * 𝐬 𝐰 𝐢 𝐧 𝐠 𝐬 𝐭 𝐝 𝐞 m_{𝐫 = 𝐒 𝐰 𝐢 𝐧 𝐠 𝐞 𝐫, 𝐩 = 𝟑} * (R g D e m o c - D E M O C P O L I T Y_{r = S w i n g e e, t - 1})$

where timeadj=.2

$W D e m o c_{t - 1} = \frac{\sum^{R} D E M O C P O L I T Y_{r, t - 1}}{R}$

else

$S w i n g E f f e c t s_{r, t} = 0$

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