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$DemGlobalEffec{t}_{\gamma }^t=(DEMOCWAV{E}^t-\mathbf{𝐝}\mathbf{𝐞}\mathbf{𝐦}\mathbf{𝐨}\mathbf{𝐜}\mathbf{𝐰}\mathbf{𝐚}\mathbf{𝐯}{\mathbf{𝐞}}^{\mathbf{𝐭}\mathbf{-}\mathbf{𝟏}})*EffectMu{l}_{\gamma }$

where

$MDemocPolit{y}_{\gamma }^{t-1}=MovingAverage(DEMOCPOLIT{Y}_{\gamma }^{t-1})$

<math>EffectMul_{\gamma}=AnalFunc(MDemocPolity^{t-1}_{\gamma})