D e m G l o b a l E f f e c t γ t = ( D E M O C W A V E t − d e m o c w a v e t − 1 ) ∗ E f f e c t M u l γ {\displaystyle DemGlobalEffect_{\gamma }^{t}=(DEMOCWAVE^{t}-\mathbf {democwave^{t-1}} )*EffectMul_{\gamma }}
where
M D e m o c P o l i t y γ t − 1 = M o v i n g A v e r a g e ( D E M O C P O L I T Y γ t − 1 ) {\displaystyle MDemocPolity_{\gamma }^{t-1}=MovingAverage(DEMOCPOLITY_{\gamma }^{t-1})}
<math>EffectMul_{\gamma}=AnalFunc(MDemocPolity^{t-1}_{\gamma})
