if s f u s e h i s t = 0 {\displaystyle \mathbf {sfusehist} =0} then (no history)
S F I N S T A B A L L γ t = P r e d i c t e d T e r m γ t {\displaystyle SFINSTABALL_{\gamma }^{t}=PredictedTerm_{\gamma }^{t}}
where
P r e d i c t e d T e r m γ t = A N A L F U N ( G D P P C P γ t , D e m o c T e r m t , I n f M o r T e r m t , T r a d e T e r m t , E d u c 25 T e r m t ) {\displaystyle PredictedTerm_{\gamma }^{t}=ANALFUN(GDPPCP_{\gamma }^{t},DemocTerm^{t},InfMorTerm^{t},TradeTerm^{t},Educ25Term^{t})}
D e m o c T e r m = D e m o P o l i t y γ {\displaystyle DemocTerm=DemoPolity_{\gamma }}
I n f M o r T e r m = I N F M O R γ W I N F M O R {\displaystyle InfMorTerm={\frac {INFMOR_{\gamma }}{WINFMOR}}}
T r a d e T e r m = X γ + M γ G D P ∗ 100 {\displaystyle TradeTerm={\frac {X_{\gamma }+M_{\gamma }}{GDP}}*100}
<math>Educ25Term=EDYRSAG25_{\gamma}
then (no history)
