India 2017 Consolidation: Difference between revisions
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The IFs model's population forecasts are slightly greater than IIASA's by less than 5% in all years. The average difference between the two models is around a 3%. | The IFs model's population forecasts are slightly greater than IIASA's by less than 5% in all years. The average difference between the two models is around a 3%. | ||
==== [[File:AssamPopIIASA.png|900px]] ==== | ==== [[File:AssamPopIIASA.png|900px|AssamPopIIASA.png]] ==== | ||
==== Crude Birth Rates ==== | ==== Crude Birth Rates ==== | ||
Revision as of 23:00, 6 June 2017
Population Module
Model Vetting Using IIASA's India Model
Andaman and Nicobar Islands
Population
In 2010 the IFs model's population is about 2% greater than IIASA's, but in 2015 Andaman and Nicobar Islands's population drops below IIASA's by about 9%. The IFs model's population forecasts are less than IIASA's by an increasing rate and by 2095 IFs's population forecast is by about 94%.
Crude Birth Rates
Andaman and Nicobar Island's Crude Birth Rates in IFs are close to IIASA's forecasts. In 2075 and 2080 IFs is less than IIASA by about 10%, but all other years the two models are less than 10% in difference.
Crude Death Rates
The IFs model's CDRs are significantly greater than IIASA's forecasts. In 2015 the IFs model's CDRs are about 9% greater than IIASA's and by 2095 the difference grows to around 23%.
Assam
Population
The IFs model's population forecasts are slightly greater than IIASA's by less than 5% in all years. The average difference between the two models is around a 3%.
