Guide to Scenario Analysis in International Futures (IFs): Difference between revisions
(Created page with "= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Introduction</span> = == <span style="font-size:x-large;">A Note on Parameter Names<br/></span> == == <span style="font-size:x-large;">Ty...") |
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= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Introduction</span> = | = <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Introduction</span> = | ||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">A Note on Parameter Names | == <span style="font-size:x-large;">A Note on Parameter Names</span> == | ||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Types of Parameters in IFs</span> == | == <span style="font-size:x-large;">Types of Parameters in IFs</span> == | ||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Manipulating Parameters in IFs | == <span style="font-size:x-large;">Manipulating Parameters in IFs</span> == | ||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Keys to Successfully Modifying Parameters in IFs | == <span style="font-size:x-large;">Keys to Successfully Modifying Parameters in IFs</span> == | ||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> == | == <span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> == | ||
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= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Demographic Module</span> = | = <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Demographic Module</span> = | ||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest | == <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> == | ||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Fertility | == <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Fertility</span> == | ||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Mortality | == <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Mortality</span> == | ||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Migration | == <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Migration</span> == | ||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Working Age | == <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Working Age</span> == | ||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> == | == <span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> == | ||
<font size=" | = <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Health Module</span> = | ||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> == | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Overall Health and Burden of Disease</span> == | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters that Affect Communicable Diseases</span> == | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters that Affect Non-Communicable Disease</span> == | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters that Affect Injuries and Accidents</span> == | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Technology</span> == | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> == | |||
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">HIV/AIDS Submodule</span> = | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> == | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Prevalence</span> == | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Mortality</span> == | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> == | |||
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Education Module</span> = | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> == | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Intake Rates and Survival Rates: Annual Growth</span> == | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Intake Rates and Survival Rates: Target Year for Universal Education</span> == | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Intake Rates and Survival Rates: Multiplier</span> == | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Education Spending</span> == | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Gender Parity</span> == | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> == | |||
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Economic Module</span> = | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> == | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Production and Growth</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Domestic Financial Flows and the Social Accounting System</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Trade and International Finance</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect the Informal Economy</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;"></span> | |||
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Infrastructure Module</span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span> = | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> == | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Infrastructure</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Funding</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> | |||
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Agriculture Module</span> = | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;"></span><span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Demand</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Supply (Production)</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Nutrition</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> | |||
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Energy Module</span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span> = | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> == | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Demand</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Supply</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> | |||
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Environment Module</span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span> = | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> == | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters Affecting Carbon</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters Affecting Water Resources</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters Affecting Air Pollution</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> | |||
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Governance Module</span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span> = | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> == | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Security</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Capacity</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters to Affect Inclusiveness</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> | |||
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">International Politics Module</span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span> = | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Variables of Interest</span> == | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters Affecting Power</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters Affecting Threat Levels</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters Affecting War Simulation</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Parameters Affecting Diplomacy</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Prepackaged Scenarios</span> | |||
= <span style="font-size:xx-large;">Parameter Dictionary</span> = | |||
== <span style="font-size:x-large;">Population</span> == | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Health</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">HIV/AIDS</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Education</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Economics</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Infrastructure</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Agriculture</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Energy</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Environment</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">Governance</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;">International Politics</span> | |||
<span style="font-size:x-large;"></span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span><span style="font-size:x-large;"></span> |
Revision as of 23:48, 24 August 2017
Introduction
A Note on Parameter Names
Types of Parameters in IFs
Manipulating Parameters in IFs
Keys to Successfully Modifying Parameters in IFs
Prepackaged Scenarios
Demographic Module
Variables of Interest
Parameters to Affect Fertility
Parameters to Affect Mortality
Parameters to Affect Migration
Parameters to Affect Working Age
Prepackaged Scenarios
Health Module
Variables of Interest
Parameters to Affect Overall Health and Burden of Disease
Parameters that Affect Communicable Diseases
Parameters that Affect Non-Communicable Disease
Parameters that Affect Injuries and Accidents
Parameters to Affect Technology
Prepackaged Scenarios
HIV/AIDS Submodule
Variables of Interest
Parameters to Affect Prevalence
Parameters to Affect Mortality
Prepackaged Scenarios
Education Module
Variables of Interest
Parameters to Affect Intake Rates and Survival Rates: Annual Growth
Parameters to Affect Intake Rates and Survival Rates: Target Year for Universal Education
Parameters to Affect Intake Rates and Survival Rates: Multiplier
Parameters to Affect Education Spending
Parameters to Affect Gender Parity
Prepackaged Scenarios
Economic Module
Variables of Interest
Parameters to Affect Production and Growth
Parameters to Affect Domestic Financial Flows and the Social Accounting System
Parameters to Affect Trade and International Finance
Parameters to Affect the Informal Economy
Prepackaged Scenarios
Infrastructure Module
Variables of Interest
Parameters to Affect Infrastructure
Parameters to Affect Funding
Prepackaged Scenarios
Agriculture Module
Variables of Interest
Parameters to Affect Demand
Parameters to Affect Supply (Production)
Parameters to Affect Nutrition
Prepackaged Scenarios
Energy Module
Variables of Interest
Parameters to Affect Demand
Parameters to Affect Supply
Prepackaged Scenarios
Environment Module
Variables of Interest
Parameters Affecting Carbon
Parameters Affecting Water Resources
Parameters Affecting Air Pollution
Prepackaged Scenarios
Governance Module
Variables of Interest
Parameters to Affect Security
Parameters to Affect Capacity
Parameters to Affect Inclusiveness
Prepackaged Scenarios
International Politics Module
Variables of Interest
Parameters Affecting Power
Parameters Affecting Threat Levels
Parameters Affecting War Simulation
Parameters Affecting Diplomacy
Prepackaged Scenarios
Parameter Dictionary
Population
Health
HIV/AIDS
Education
Economics
Infrastructure
Agriculture
Energy
Environment
Governance
International Politics