Use IFs (Download): Development Goals: Difference between revisions

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(Added all of the old information from the Millennium Development Goals Page. So that I can start updating it here on the correctly named page (Development Goals instead of Millennium Development Goals).)
 
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=<span style="font-size:xx-large;">Development Goals</span>=
The Development Goals specialized display options, explore how far the world and countries are from attaining the Sustainable Development Goals. The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are a set of 17 goals adopted by all United Nations Member states in 2015, that focus on collaboration between countries toward better sustainable development. Each goal has several targets that help to quantify their attainment. Each of the display options described below can help to assess SDG targets over time and explore their potential for attainment in the future.  
The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) option is located under the Specialized Display option, which is in turn located under the Display option on the main menu. The MDGs option is also located under the&nbsp;[[Main Menu Map]]&nbsp;options.


The MDGs are a set of 8 goals which were adopted in 2000 and are supposed to be met by participating countries by 2015. The goals are the following:
== SDG Overview Table ==
*Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger
The ''SDG Overview Table'' display can be found from the Main Menu: choose the '''Display''' option, the '''Specialized Display''' sub-option, and then the '''''SDG Overview Table''''' sub-sub-option.  
*Achieve universal primary education
*Promote gender equality and empower women
*Reduce child mortality
*Improve maternal health
*Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases
*Ensure environmental sustainability
*Develop a global partnership for development
Each goal has a target that is in turn measured by one or more indicators. For instance, the target of the goal to eradicate extreme poverty is to halve the proportion of people whose income is less than $1 per day, which is measured in by the indicator of purchasing power parity (PPP).


To use the MDGs option, first select the goal to display. Next, select the target, and then the indicator. Experimenting with the various targets and indicators will help familiarize the user to the relationships between the goal, targets, and indicators. The user should then select the&nbsp;[[Country/Region, Group or G-List|country/region or group]]&nbsp;to display. Click the Use Groups option in the heading to switch from countries to groups. Finally, select the run file with which to forecast the selected indicator. The one to use first is probably the Working File, but the user can begin with any of the available run files.
This display shows a table of the SDGs and their targets that IFs has corresponding variables to measure. This table displays forecasts and historical data on SDG targets for a chosen country and scenario. The table has five columns: the names of indicators that correspond with a certain target and SDG, the most recent year of historical data, forecast for the chosen year and reference scenario, forecast for the chosen intervention scenario, and if available the target value. When a target value is available the forecast columns will be filled red if the forecast is not reaching the target, and green if it is reaching the target.
[[File:SDG overview 2.png|center|thumb|950x950px|An example of the SDG Overview Table display for Kenya with the year 2040 and goal 1 selected.]]
There are several options and features to adjust and explore the display that can be found in the menu bar or the display field options at the top of the screen:
* [[Repeated Features#General%20Display%20Options|'''Continue''']]: Go back to the previous menu or to the Main Menu of IFs.
* [[Country/Region, Group or G-List|'''Using Groups''' or '''Using Countries/Regions''']]: Click '''Switch''' to change between displaying groups or countries and regions. If groups are currently selected then '''Using Groups''' will be displayed on the tool bar and vice versa.
* '''Use History Only Indicators''' or '''Back to Forecasted Indicators''': Click '''Switch2''' to change between only displaying the most recent historical data that IFs has with no forecasts or to displaying forecast and all the variables with data. If forecasts are currently displayed then '''Use History Only Indicators''' will be displayed on the tool bar and vice versa.  
* '''Help''': Open the corresponding page in the [[Main Page|Pardee Wiki]] for the current feature or display.


At this point, a chart should appear like the one below.[[File:Devgoals.gif|frame|right|Example of the current trajectory of a particular indicator, the goal for the indicator, and the forecast|link=https://pardeewiki.du.edu//index.php?title=File:Devgoals.gif]]The box at the top left of the picture shows the selected goal, target, and indicator. The top right box in this case is green, which means that the&nbsp;country/region or group&nbsp;is making fast progress towards meeting the MDG. This color of this box will change according to whether the country is making progress towards meeting the MDG and the speed of that progress (green for fast progress, blue for moderate, yellow for slow), whether the country is regressing from the MDG (red for regression), or whether no change is made in relation to the goal (purple for no progress). Next, the user can select to display the data as a chart (the default setting) or to simply view the data.
Display Option Fields:


The chart will usually display blue bars, which represent historic data, and a series of lines. These lines represent the current trajectory of the particular indicator (red), the goal for the indicator (green) and then the forecast, which will come in a variety of colors. The user can choose to display the chart monochromatically by selecting the Monochrome option under the Graphic heading at the top of the screen. The user can also choose to view the earliest available data for the selected indicator or to view the latest, options which are both located under the Display Options heading. By selecting Using estimated historic line that may not meet forecast line, which is also located under the Display Options heading, the user can view an unadjusted historical trajectory; selecting the option Overriding the base year value historic line with forecast value will force the historic trajectory and forecasted data to meet.
* '''Groups''' or '''Countries or Regions''': Choose the desired country or region, or group form the drop down.
* '''Select Year''': Choose the desired year to display from the drop down.
* '''Select Reference Scenario''': Choose the desired saved scenario to display from the drop down.
* '''Select Intervention Scenario''': Choose the desired saved scenario to display from the drop down.
* '''Goal''': Choose the desired SDG from the drop down.


Several options are located in the heading. Clicking on Continue returns the user to the previous screen. The File option allows the user to export or print the file. Clicking on Global Picture causes a dialog box to appear, which contains an option titled Situation Map. The Situation Map is similar to the&nbsp;[[Use IFs (Download) Data Analysis#World%20Map:%20Historic%20Data|World Map]]. The next option is Causality, that, when selected, will display the particular drivers that affect and are affected by the variable in question. To learn more about the MDGs, select one of the options under the About MDG heading.
== SDG Graph ==
=<span style="font-size:xx-large;">Poverty Level Display</span>=
The ''SDG Graph'' display can be found from the Main Menu: choose the '''Display''' option, the '''Specialized Display''' sub-option, and then the '''''SDG Graph''''' sub-sub-option.
This feature can be accessed from the main menu of IFs by clicking on Display, then Specialized Display and then Poverty Level Display.


This display feature is useful for visually displaying forecasts of populations who live under a certain monetary constraint within a geographically bound region. For example, if you would like to see a forecast of people living in China who live under $1 a day, simply use the default settings of the "Population with income less than $ ___ per day, log normal computation," box, then select China from the Regions box and click the Add button to place it into the display box at the bottom of this display.
This display shows the history and forecast of an IFs variable that corresponds with the chosen SDG goal and target for a given country and scenario. Along with this forecast, the graph also shows the target value if available.
[[File:SDG Graph.png|center|thumb|950x950px|An example of the SDG Graph display for Kenya with goal 1 and target 1.1 chosen.]]
There are several options and features to adjust and explore the graph that can be found in the menu bar or the display field options:


Then, choose to visually display this information as either a Table, a Line Graph or a Bar Graph.
* [[Repeated Features#General%20Display%20Options|'''Continue''']]: Go back to the previous menu or to the Main Menu of IFs.
* '''Global Picture''': Click '''Situation Map''' to open a [[Use IFs (Download): World Map and All-Variable Displays#Map|display map]] comparing all countries for the chosen goal and target.
*'''Causality''': Open a display of the drivers of the currently displayed variable. This display shows what variables drive the currently displayed variable in the IFs model.
*'''Switch''':
**[[Country/Region, Group or G-List|'''Use Groups or Use Countries''']]: Change between displaying groups or countries and regions. If groups are currently selected then '''Use Countries''' will be displayed on the tool bar and vice versa.
**'''Compare''': Compare two countries or groups. First Select the desired countries or groups; one at the drop down at the top of the screen and and the other at the drop down below the graph. Then click '''Compare'''.
*'''Display Options''':
**'''Earliest Year to Display''': Select the desired earliest year to display on the graph from the drop down that appears.
**'''Latest Year to Display''':  Select the desired latest year to display on the graph from the drop down that appears.
**'''Not filling holes in group data''' or '''Using estimation to fill holes in group data''': Click this to switch between either using estimation techniques to fill in missing data for countries in the selected group or not filling in data at all. '''Not filing holes in group data''' is displayed if the display is not using estimations to fill in missing data and vice versa.
**'''Using Cross-Sectionally enhanced Longitudinal Regression to fill holes''': Click to use this estimation technique.
**'''Estimation with Regression''': Hover over to choose the desired regression technique from the drop down. This regression is used to estimate the base year and most recent year when the chosen country or group does not have data available. The current technique will have a check mark next to in the drop down.
**'''Show Regression Values''': Show the regression line that is used to estimate the base year and most recent year when the chosen country or group does not have data available.
*'''Edit Target''': Click '''Edit''' to manually set the target year and value.
*'''About SDG''':
**'''Goals''': Open a page that provides more detailed information about the SDGs.
**'''Explain''': Open a page that explains the estimation process for missing data, and how IFs sets target values based upon the SDG targets.
*'''Help''': Open the corresponding page in the [[Main Page|Pardee Wiki]] with the current feature or display being used.
Display Option Fields; after each selection the graph will automatically refresh and reflect the change:


It is also possible to change certain features of the display by selecting the Display Format button at the top of this menu. By selecting these options, it is possible to format your chart or graph for presentation and also change the time horizon of the display to fit your forecasting needs.
* Goal drop down: Select desired goal.
* Target drop down: Select the desired target.
* Indicator drop down: Select the desired indicator.
* Country or Group drop down (top of screen): Select the desired country or group.
* Scenario drop down: Select the desired scenario.
* Country or Group drop down (bottom of screen): Select the desired country or group prior to using the '''Compare''' option.
* '''Display''': Select '''Chart''' or '''Data''' to change the display format between a graph or table.  


Next, it may be of interest to change the Using Countries/Regions and Using Groups toggle. This allows you to see a forecast of how many people live under certain monetary constraints in differently constructed geographically bound regions. The last toggle on this screen allows displays to be either in millions of people or in a percentage of population.[[File:Devgoals1.gif|frame|right|Example of display settings for poverty levels|link=https://pardeewiki.du.edu//index.php?title=File:Devgoals1.gif]]However, while $1 per day has been a gold standard for poverty measurement for many years, rising incomes have made it necessary to look at populations who live under a higher set of monetary constraints. For example, it is possible to change the default $1 setting to a higher setting, like $5 per day. Additionally, it is possible to display the nth poorest percentile in a country by selecting the Poverty Percentile button and then changing the percentage located in the box.
== Poverty Level Display ==
The ''Poverty Level Display'' can be found from the Main Menu: choose the '''Display''' option, the '''Specialized Display''' sub-option, and then the '''''Poverty Level Display''''' sub-sub-option.
 
This display feature is useful for generating and displaying forecasts of populations who live under a certain monetary constraint, between two chosen income levels, or the income of a chosen percentile within a geographically bound region. Change selections and the display option fields then choose to display the generated forecasts as either a table, line graph, or bar graph.  
[[File:Poverty level.png|center|thumb|950x950px|An example of the Poverty Level Display.]]
There are several options and features to adjust and explore the displays that can be found in the menu bar or the display field options:
 
* [[Repeated Features#General%20Display%20Options|'''Continue''']]: Go back to the previous menu or to the Main Menu of IFs.
* '''Display Forma'''t:
** '''Set Title, Display Interval, or Year''': Adjust the display year, the title, and the titles of axes.
** '''Currency''': Change the currency being displayed. The default currency is USD.
** '''Horizon''':
*** '''Display/Run Horizon''': Select the desired forecast horizon year from the drop down that appears.
*** '''Run File Horizon Choice (With Multiple File Use)''': When multiple scenario files are selected from the '''Scenarios''' drop down, choose to set the forecast horizon to the '''Shortest Run File Horizon''' or the '''Longest Run File Horizon'''.
* [[Country/Region, Group or G-List|'''Group Options''']]: Select an option from the drop down to change between '''Using Countries/Regions''', '''Using Groups''', '''Using G-Lists''', or '''Using Decomposed Groups''' as the geographic level of display'''.''' The selection for the current chart being displayed will have a checkmark next to it.
* '''Using Percent of Population''' or '''Using Millions of People''': Click '''Change''' to either display forecasts in millions or percent. '''Using Percent of Population''' will be displayed to reflect the current choice and vice versa.
* '''Using 2017 PPP''' or '''Using 2011 PPP''': Click '''Switch''' to either display forecasts in in 2011 or 2017 USD PPP. '''Using 2017 PPP''' will be displayed to reflect the current choice and vice versa.
* '''Help''': Open the corresponding page in the [[Main Page|Pardee Wiki]] with the current feature or display they are using.
Display Option Fields:
 
* '''Regions''': Select the desired country, group, g-list, or decomposed group from the drop down.
* '''Scenarios''': Select the desired scenario from the drop down.
* '''Poverty Level''': Choose to generate forecasts and displays based upon the income level. Set the income level in the corresponding field.
* '''Income Range''': Choose to generate forecasts and displays based upon the income range. Set the range in the two corresponding fields.
* '''Poverty Percentile''': Choose to generate forecasts and displays based upon the income percentile. Set the percentile in the corresponding field.
* '''Add''': Click to add the current selections to the display or table. Once clicked, the selections will then show up in a box at the bottom of the screen. Use this multiple times to compare between countries or scenarios.
* '''Table''': Generate a table based upon selections.
* '''Line Graph''': Generate a line graph based upon selections.
* '''Bar Graph''': Generate a bar graph based upon selections.
* '''Clear''': Clear the current selections that are in the box at the bottom of the screen.

Latest revision as of 15:53, 12 May 2025

The Development Goals specialized display options, explore how far the world and countries are from attaining the Sustainable Development Goals. The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are a set of 17 goals adopted by all United Nations Member states in 2015, that focus on collaboration between countries toward better sustainable development. Each goal has several targets that help to quantify their attainment. Each of the display options described below can help to assess SDG targets over time and explore their potential for attainment in the future.

SDG Overview Table

The SDG Overview Table display can be found from the Main Menu: choose the Display option, the Specialized Display sub-option, and then the SDG Overview Table sub-sub-option.

This display shows a table of the SDGs and their targets that IFs has corresponding variables to measure. This table displays forecasts and historical data on SDG targets for a chosen country and scenario. The table has five columns: the names of indicators that correspond with a certain target and SDG, the most recent year of historical data, forecast for the chosen year and reference scenario, forecast for the chosen intervention scenario, and if available the target value. When a target value is available the forecast columns will be filled red if the forecast is not reaching the target, and green if it is reaching the target.

An example of the SDG Overview Table display for Kenya with the year 2040 and goal 1 selected.

There are several options and features to adjust and explore the display that can be found in the menu bar or the display field options at the top of the screen:

  • Continue: Go back to the previous menu or to the Main Menu of IFs.
  • Using Groups or Using Countries/Regions: Click Switch to change between displaying groups or countries and regions. If groups are currently selected then Using Groups will be displayed on the tool bar and vice versa.
  • Use History Only Indicators or Back to Forecasted Indicators: Click Switch2 to change between only displaying the most recent historical data that IFs has with no forecasts or to displaying forecast and all the variables with data. If forecasts are currently displayed then Use History Only Indicators will be displayed on the tool bar and vice versa.
  • Help: Open the corresponding page in the Pardee Wiki for the current feature or display.

Display Option Fields:

  • Groups or Countries or Regions: Choose the desired country or region, or group form the drop down.
  • Select Year: Choose the desired year to display from the drop down.
  • Select Reference Scenario: Choose the desired saved scenario to display from the drop down.
  • Select Intervention Scenario: Choose the desired saved scenario to display from the drop down.
  • Goal: Choose the desired SDG from the drop down.

SDG Graph

The SDG Graph display can be found from the Main Menu: choose the Display option, the Specialized Display sub-option, and then the SDG Graph sub-sub-option.

This display shows the history and forecast of an IFs variable that corresponds with the chosen SDG goal and target for a given country and scenario. Along with this forecast, the graph also shows the target value if available.

An example of the SDG Graph display for Kenya with goal 1 and target 1.1 chosen.

There are several options and features to adjust and explore the graph that can be found in the menu bar or the display field options:

  • Continue: Go back to the previous menu or to the Main Menu of IFs.
  • Global Picture: Click Situation Map to open a display map comparing all countries for the chosen goal and target.
  • Causality: Open a display of the drivers of the currently displayed variable. This display shows what variables drive the currently displayed variable in the IFs model.
  • Switch:
    • Use Groups or Use Countries: Change between displaying groups or countries and regions. If groups are currently selected then Use Countries will be displayed on the tool bar and vice versa.
    • Compare: Compare two countries or groups. First Select the desired countries or groups; one at the drop down at the top of the screen and and the other at the drop down below the graph. Then click Compare.
  • Display Options:
    • Earliest Year to Display: Select the desired earliest year to display on the graph from the drop down that appears.
    • Latest Year to Display: Select the desired latest year to display on the graph from the drop down that appears.
    • Not filling holes in group data or Using estimation to fill holes in group data: Click this to switch between either using estimation techniques to fill in missing data for countries in the selected group or not filling in data at all. Not filing holes in group data is displayed if the display is not using estimations to fill in missing data and vice versa.
    • Using Cross-Sectionally enhanced Longitudinal Regression to fill holes: Click to use this estimation technique.
    • Estimation with Regression: Hover over to choose the desired regression technique from the drop down. This regression is used to estimate the base year and most recent year when the chosen country or group does not have data available. The current technique will have a check mark next to in the drop down.
    • Show Regression Values: Show the regression line that is used to estimate the base year and most recent year when the chosen country or group does not have data available.
  • Edit Target: Click Edit to manually set the target year and value.
  • About SDG:
    • Goals: Open a page that provides more detailed information about the SDGs.
    • Explain: Open a page that explains the estimation process for missing data, and how IFs sets target values based upon the SDG targets.
  • Help: Open the corresponding page in the Pardee Wiki with the current feature or display being used.

Display Option Fields; after each selection the graph will automatically refresh and reflect the change:

  • Goal drop down: Select desired goal.
  • Target drop down: Select the desired target.
  • Indicator drop down: Select the desired indicator.
  • Country or Group drop down (top of screen): Select the desired country or group.
  • Scenario drop down: Select the desired scenario.
  • Country or Group drop down (bottom of screen): Select the desired country or group prior to using the Compare option.
  • Display: Select Chart or Data to change the display format between a graph or table.

Poverty Level Display

The Poverty Level Display can be found from the Main Menu: choose the Display option, the Specialized Display sub-option, and then the Poverty Level Display sub-sub-option.

This display feature is useful for generating and displaying forecasts of populations who live under a certain monetary constraint, between two chosen income levels, or the income of a chosen percentile within a geographically bound region. Change selections and the display option fields then choose to display the generated forecasts as either a table, line graph, or bar graph.

An example of the Poverty Level Display.

There are several options and features to adjust and explore the displays that can be found in the menu bar or the display field options:

  • Continue: Go back to the previous menu or to the Main Menu of IFs.
  • Display Format:
    • Set Title, Display Interval, or Year: Adjust the display year, the title, and the titles of axes.
    • Currency: Change the currency being displayed. The default currency is USD.
    • Horizon:
      • Display/Run Horizon: Select the desired forecast horizon year from the drop down that appears.
      • Run File Horizon Choice (With Multiple File Use): When multiple scenario files are selected from the Scenarios drop down, choose to set the forecast horizon to the Shortest Run File Horizon or the Longest Run File Horizon.
  • Group Options: Select an option from the drop down to change between Using Countries/Regions, Using Groups, Using G-Lists, or Using Decomposed Groups as the geographic level of display. The selection for the current chart being displayed will have a checkmark next to it.
  • Using Percent of Population or Using Millions of People: Click Change to either display forecasts in millions or percent. Using Percent of Population will be displayed to reflect the current choice and vice versa.
  • Using 2017 PPP or Using 2011 PPP: Click Switch to either display forecasts in in 2011 or 2017 USD PPP. Using 2017 PPP will be displayed to reflect the current choice and vice versa.
  • Help: Open the corresponding page in the Pardee Wiki with the current feature or display they are using.

Display Option Fields:

  • Regions: Select the desired country, group, g-list, or decomposed group from the drop down.
  • Scenarios: Select the desired scenario from the drop down.
  • Poverty Level: Choose to generate forecasts and displays based upon the income level. Set the income level in the corresponding field.
  • Income Range: Choose to generate forecasts and displays based upon the income range. Set the range in the two corresponding fields.
  • Poverty Percentile: Choose to generate forecasts and displays based upon the income percentile. Set the percentile in the corresponding field.
  • Add: Click to add the current selections to the display or table. Once clicked, the selections will then show up in a box at the bottom of the screen. Use this multiple times to compare between countries or scenarios.
  • Table: Generate a table based upon selections.
  • Line Graph: Generate a line graph based upon selections.
  • Bar Graph: Generate a bar graph based upon selections.
  • Clear: Clear the current selections that are in the box at the bottom of the screen.
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