India 2017 Consolidation: Difference between revisions
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= Population Module = | = Population Module = | ||
== | == Model Vetting Using IIASA's India Model == | ||
=== Population === | === Andaman and Nicobar Islands === | ||
==== Population ==== | |||
In 2010 the IFs model's population is about 2% greater than IIASA's, but in 2015 Andaman and Nicobar Islands's population drops below IIASA's by about 9%. The IFs model's population forecasts are less than IIASA's by an increasing rate and by 2095 IFs's population forecast is by about 94%. | In 2010 the IFs model's population is about 2% greater than IIASA's, but in 2015 Andaman and Nicobar Islands's population drops below IIASA's by about 9%. The IFs model's population forecasts are less than IIASA's by an increasing rate and by 2095 IFs's population forecast is by about 94%. | ||
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[[File:AndamanandNicobarIsPopIIASA.png|900px|AndamanandNicobarIsPopIIASA.png]] | [[File:AndamanandNicobarIsPopIIASA.png|900px|AndamanandNicobarIsPopIIASA.png]] | ||
=== Crude Birth Rates === | ==== Crude Birth Rates ==== | ||
Andaman and Nicobar Island's Crude Birth Rates in IFs are close to IIASA's forecasts. In 2075 and 2080 IFs is less than IIASA by about 10%, but all other years the two models are less than 10% in difference. | Andaman and Nicobar Island's Crude Birth Rates in IFs are close to IIASA's forecasts. In 2075 and 2080 IFs is less than IIASA by about 10%, but all other years the two models are less than 10% in difference. | ||
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[[File:AndamanandNicobarCBRIIASA.png|900px|AndamanandNicobarCBRIIASA.png]] | [[File:AndamanandNicobarCBRIIASA.png|900px|AndamanandNicobarCBRIIASA.png]] | ||
=== Crude Death Rates === | ==== Crude Death Rates ==== | ||
The IFs model's CDRs are significantly greater than IIASA's forecasts. In 2015 the IFs model's CDRs are about 9% greater than IIASA's and by 2095 the difference grows to around 23%. | The IFs model's CDRs are significantly greater than IIASA's forecasts. In 2015 the IFs model's CDRs are about 9% greater than IIASA's and by 2095 the difference grows to around 23%. | ||
[[File:AndamanandNicobarCDRIIASA.png|900px]] | [[File:AndamanandNicobarCDRIIASA.png|900px|AndamanandNicobarCDRIIASA.png]] | ||
Revision as of 22:51, 6 June 2017
Population Module
Model Vetting Using IIASA's India Model
Andaman and Nicobar Islands
Population
In 2010 the IFs model's population is about 2% greater than IIASA's, but in 2015 Andaman and Nicobar Islands's population drops below IIASA's by about 9%. The IFs model's population forecasts are less than IIASA's by an increasing rate and by 2095 IFs's population forecast is by about 94%.
Crude Birth Rates
Andaman and Nicobar Island's Crude Birth Rates in IFs are close to IIASA's forecasts. In 2075 and 2080 IFs is less than IIASA by about 10%, but all other years the two models are less than 10% in difference.
Crude Death Rates
The IFs model's CDRs are significantly greater than IIASA's forecasts. In 2015 the IFs model's CDRs are about 9% greater than IIASA's and by 2095 the difference grows to around 23%.
