Economic preprocessor: Difference between revisions
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== Central government expenditures == | == Central government expenditures == | ||
Central government expenditures (GovtExpCentral) is initialized using SeriesGovExpense%GDP | Central government expenditures (GovtExpCentral) is initialized using SeriesGovExpense%GDP | ||
'''Source:''' WDI 2015 batch pull | '''Source:''' WDI 2015 batch pull | ||
'''Definition:''' Government expense as % of GDP (compare with govt expenditures) | '''Definition:''' Government expense as % of GDP (compare with govt expenditures) | ||
'''Extended definition: '''Expense is cash payments for operating activities of the government in providing goods and services. It includes compensation of employees, interest and subsidies, grants, social benefits, and other expenses such as rent and dividends | '''Extended definition: '''Expense is cash payments for operating activities of the government in providing goods and services. It includes compensation of employees, interest and subsidies, grants, social benefits, and other expenses such as rent and dividends | ||
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'''Note:''' This series has "government" as the group. | '''Note:''' This series has "government" as the group. | ||
Use SeriesGovtCalcExpendTot%GDP to initialize '''total''' government expenditures. | |||
'''Source:''' IMF GFS | |||
'''Definition:''' Expenditure, government, total, as % of GDP | |||
If null, then use SeriesGovTotalOutlays%GDP | If null, then use SeriesGovTotalOutlays%GDP | ||
'''Source: '''OECD Statistics Database Online | |||
'''Definition: '''Government total outlays (% of GDP), including forecast | |||
Hard code 46 in for Ireland in 2010 because of bailout. | Hard code 46 in for Ireland in 2010 because of bailout. | ||
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CGovExp(ICount%) = GovExpCentral + CGovExpLocal(ICount%) <span style="color: rgb(0, 128, 0);">'Add Central plus local to get total</span> | CGovExp(ICount%) = GovExpCentral + CGovExpLocal(ICount%) <span style="color: rgb(0, 128, 0);">'Add Central plus local to get total</span> | ||
<span style="color: rgb(0, 128, 0);">' Go to total govt expenditures and filling holes when have data in order to compute local govt<br/>' When do not have total and therefore ability to compute local govt,<br/>' estimate at 2-14% of GDP (OECD gap between total and central is 14%)<br/>' North, Walli, Weingast p. 10 have table showing grows from 1-2% to 16%</span> | |||
== Central government revenue == | == Central government revenue == | ||
Revision as of 15:40, 5 May 2016
There are 72 series marked as "economic" in the "group" field that are read into the preprocessor. Most of them come from World_Development_Indicators (WDI). There are quite a few series marked as "IMF GFS 2013 BATCH PULL". There are a lot of data on the informal economy from ILO-WIEGO. Cyber data also appears to be read into DataEcon.
Sources
IMF, ILO, WDI, Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP)
Economic series used in preprocessor
This table was created by filtering DataDict (7.20) by "Used in preprocessor" and then choosing the following "Group" names: Economic; Economic, infrastructure; Economic, SocioPolitical; Economic, Trade. Sorted by "Last IFs Update".
| Table | Group | Definition | Source | Last IFs Update | UsedInPreprocessor | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SeriesVaddICT%GDP | Economic, Infrastructure | Total ICT market share as % of GDP | Information Society Statistics Pocketbook 2001 | Yes | ||
| SeriesGDP2003PPP | Economic | GDP (PPP) | CIA (original partly World Bank); extended by Evan Hillebrand | 2004/07 | Yes | |
| SeriesGDP2000PCPPP | Economic | GDP per capita (constant 2000 PPP International $) | CIA and constructed (original mostly World Bank) | 2012/02/24 | Yes | |
| SeriesGovtCalcEdCen%GDP | Economic | Education spending, government, Central government, as % of GDP | IMF GFS 2013 BATCH PULL | 2013/12/20 | Yes | |
| SeriesGovtCalcEdTot%GDP | Economic | Education spending, government, total, as % of GDP | IMF GFS 2013 BATCH PULL | 2013/12/20 | Yes | |
| SeriesGovtCalcExpendCen%GDP | Economic | Expenditure, government, Central government, as % of GDP | IMF GFS 2013 BATCH PULL | 2013/12/20 | Yes | |
| SeriesGovtCalcExpendTot%GDP | Economic | Expenditure, government, total, as % of GDP | IMF GFS 2013 BATCH PULL | 2013/12/20 | Yes | |
| SeriesGovtCalcHealthCen%GDP | Economic | Health spending, government, Central government, as % of GDP | IMF GFS 2013 BATCH PULL | 2013/12/20 | Yes | |
| SeriesGovtCalcHealthTot%GDP | Economic | Health spending, government, total, as % of GDP | IMF GFS 2013 BATCH PULL | 2013/12/20 | Yes | |
| SeriesGovtCalcRevCen%GDP | Economic | Revenue, government, Central government, as % of GDP | IMF GFS 2013 BATCH PULL | 2013/12/20 | Yes | |
| SeriesGovtCalcRevTot%GDP | Economic | Revenue, government, total, as % of GDP | IMF GFS 2013 BATCH PULL | 2013/12/20 | Yes | |
| SeriesGDP2005PCPPP | Economic | GDP per capita (constant 2005 PPP International $) | WDI 2013; extrapolated based on previous GDP_PCPPP2005 values in IFs; extrapolated based on CIA Factbook; taken directly from CIA Factbook; taken directly from previous GDP_PCPPP2005 values in IFs | 2013/12/23 | Yes | |
| SeriesGDPInformal%Elgin | Economic | Informal economy as % of GDP, from Elgin and Oztunali (2012) | Available at: http://www.econ.boun.edu.tr/public_html/RePEc/pdf/201205.pdf | 2014/04/04 | Yes | |
| SeriesLaborInformal%TotalFemaleWB | Economic | Labor, informal, as a share of total, female | World Bank Gender Statistics | 2014/04/28 | Yes | |
| SeriesLaborInformal%TotalMaleWB | Economic | Labor, informal, as a share of total, male | World Bank Gender Statistics | 2014/04/28 | Yes | |
| SeriesLaborInformal%TotalAllBlended | Economic | Labor, informal, as a share of total, all, blended from ILO-WIEGO and World Bank | Blended from ILO-WEIGO and calculated World Bank | 2014/10/21 | Yes | |
| SeriesGDPInformal%Blended | Economic | Informal economy as % of GDP, blended from 2 sources (UNECE, Schneider and Elgin) | UNECE, "Non-Observed Economy in National Accounts: Survey of Country Practices"; http://rru.worldbank.org/Documents/PapersLinks/informal_economy.pdf; http://www.econ.boun.edu.tr/public_html/RePEc/pdf/201205.pdf | 2015/01/13 | Yes | |
| SeriesLaborInformalFemale%FormalSec | Economic | Female employment as a % of informal formal sector employment | ILO-WIEGO | 2015/03/10 | Yes | |
| SeriesLaborInformalFemale%HHInformal | Economic | Female employment as a % of informal household sector employment | ILO-WIEGO | 2015/03/10 | Yes | |
| SeriesLaborInformalFemale%InformalSec | Economic | Female employment as a % of informal informal sector employment | ILO-WIEGO | 2015/03/10 | Yes | |
| SeriesLaborInformalFormSec%TotalInformal | Economic | Formal sector as a % of total informal employment | ILO-WIEGO | 2015/03/10 | Yes | |
| SeriesLaborInformalHH%TotalInformal | Economic | Household sector as a % of total informal employment | ILO-WIEGO | 2015/03/10 | Yes | |
| SeriesLaborInformalInfSec%TotalInformal | Economic | Informal sector as a % of total informal employment | ILO-WIEGO | 2015/03/10 | Yes | |
| SeriesLaborInformalMale%FormalSec | Economic | Male employment as a % of informal formal sector employment | ILO-WIEGO | 2015/03/10 | Yes | |
| SeriesLaborInformalMale%HHInformal | Economic | Male employment as a % of informal household sector employment | ILO-WIEGO | 2015/03/10 | Yes | |
| SeriesLaborInformalMale%InformalSec | Economic | Male employment as a % of informal informal sector employment | ILO-WIEGO | 2015/03/10 | Yes | |
| SeriesAidRec%GNI | Economic | Official development assistance and official aid, net, % of GNI | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/14 | Yes | |
| SeriesAidRecGrant%Total | Economic | Official development assistance and official aid, grants and other revenue, current LCU | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/14 | Yes | |
| SeriesArmsImp%TotImp | Economic, Trade | Arms imports (SIPRI trend indicator values) | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/14 | Yes | |
| SeriesExportGoodSer% | Economic, Trade | Exports of goods and services as % of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/14 | Yes | |
| SeriesExportServices | Economic | Exports of services (BoP, current currency) | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/14 | Yes | |
| SeriesExportsMerchandise | Economic | Exports of merchandise (current currency) | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/14 | Yes | |
| SeriesGDPCurDol | Economic | Gross Domestic Product in Current US$ | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/14 | Yes | |
| SeriesGovCon%GDP | Economic | Government (general) final consumption as % of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/14 | Yes | |
| SeriesHouseCon%GDP | Economic | Household final consumption expenditure as percent of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/14 | Yes | |
| SeriesImportGoodSer% | Economic | Imports of goods and services as % of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/14 | Yes | |
| SeriesImportServices | Economic, Trade | Imports of services (current currency) | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/14 | Yes | |
| SeriesImportsMerchandise | Economic | Imports of merchandise (current currency) | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/14 | Yes | |
| SeriesVaddAg% | Economic | Value added in agriculture as percent of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesVaddInd% | Economic | Value added in industry as percent of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesVaddMan% | Economic | Value added in manufacturing as percent of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesVaddSer% | Economic | Value added in services as percent of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesXCurActBal%GDP | Economic | Current account balance (% of GDP) | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesXDebt | Economic | External long-term (more than 1 year) debt: public, publically guaranteed and priv nonguaranteed | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesXDebtPNG%GDP | Economic | External debt, private non-guaranteed, as percentage of gross domestic product | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesXDebtPPG%GDP | Economic | External debt, public and publicly guaranteed, as percentage of gross domestic product | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesXFDIInflows%GDP | Economic | Foreign direct investment net inflow as % of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesXFDIOutflows%GDP | Economic | Foreign direct investment net outflow as % of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesXFlowsIBRD%GDP | Economic | Net flows from IBRD as % of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesXFlowsIDA%GDP | Economic | Net flows from IDA as % of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesXFlowsIMFCon%GDP | Economic | Net concessional flows from IMF as % of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesXFlowsIMFNonCon%GDP | Economic | Net nonconcessional flows from IMF as % of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesXIMFCredit%GDP | Economic | IMF credits as % of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesXIncPayments%GDP | Economic | Income payments as % of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesXIncReceipts%GDP | Economic | Income receipts as % of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesXPortBonds%GDP | Economic | Portfolio investment in bonds (PPG and PNG) as % of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesXPortEquity%GDP | Economic | Portfolio investment in equity as % of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesXReserves%GDP | Economic | Gross international reserves as % of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesXWBLoans%GDP | Economic | IBRD loans and IDA credits as % of GDP | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesXWorkerRemitPaid | Economic, SocioPolitical | Worker remittances by country where paid | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesXWorkerRemitReceived | Economic, SocioPolitical | Worker remittances received by home country | WDI BATCH PULL | 2015/07/15 | Yes | |
| SeriesInvestGrCapForm%GDP | Economic | Gross capital formation (Investment), percent of GDP | WDI 2015 BATCH PULL | 2015/07/22 | Yes | |
| SeriesLabor | Economic | Labor force size | WDI 2015 BATCH PULL | 2015/07/22 | Yes | |
| SeriesLaborAgr%TotFemale | Economic | Employees, agriculture, female as % of female employment | WDI 2015 BATCH PULL | 2015/07/22 | Yes | |
| SeriesLaborAgr%TotMale | Economic | Employees, agriculture, males as % of male employment | WDI 2015 BATCH PULL | 2015/07/22 | Yes | |
| SeriesLaborFemale% | Economic | Portion of labor force made up by women | WDI 2015 BATCH PULL | 2015/07/22 | Yes | |
| SeriesLaborSecInd%Tot | Economic | Labor in industry as % of total | WDI 2015 BATCH PULL | 2015/07/22 | Yes | |
| SeriesLaborSecSer%Tot | Economic | Labor in services as % of total | WDI 2015 BATCH PULL | 2015/07/22 | Yes | |
| SeriesOresMetsEx%MerchEx | Economic | Ores and Metals exports as % of merchandise exports | WDI 2015 BATCH PULL | 2015/07/22 | Yes | |
| SeriesOresMetsIm%MerchIm | Economic | Ores and Metals imports as % of merchandise imports | WDI 2015 BATCH PULL | 2015/07/22 | Yes | |
| SeriesGDP2011 | Economic | Gross Domestic Product in 2011 constant dollars | WDI - Caluclated from WDI and other sources; IMF WEO 2013 Real GDP Growth Rates for 2010-2014; CIA factbook for some countries (e.g., PRK; SSD; SOM); WEO (Taiwan); ERS; Gaps filled using growth rates from ERS or previous version of IFs | 2015/09/18 | Yes | |
| SeriesGDP2011PCPPP | Economic | GDP per capita (constant 2011 PPP International $) | WDI - calculaed from WDI and other sources; extrapolated based on previous GDP_PCPPP2005 values in IFs; extrapolated based on CIA Factbook; taken directly from CIA Factbook; taken directly from previous GDP_PCPPP2005 values in IFs | 2015/09/18 | Yes |
Initializations
Use government consumption and expenditures data to initialize SAM.
Government consumption
Government consumption (CGovCon) is initialized using SeriesGovCon%GDP.
Source: WDI
Definition: Government (general) final consumption as % of GDP
Sum up government consumption from sectors.
CGConFromSectors = GExpDef(ICount%) + GExpEd(ICount%) + GExpRandD(ICount%) + GExpHl(ICount%) + GExpInfra(ICount%) + GExpInfraOther(ICount%)
Set CGovCon as the max of CGovCon and the CGovCon calculated as the sum of sectors. Bound between 9 and 35.
Central government expenditures
Central government expenditures (GovtExpCentral) is initialized using SeriesGovExpense%GDP
Source: WDI 2015 batch pull
Definition: Government expense as % of GDP (compare with govt expenditures)
Extended definition: Expense is cash payments for operating activities of the government in providing goods and services. It includes compensation of employees, interest and subsidies, grants, social benefits, and other expenses such as rent and dividends
Note: This series has "government" as the group.
Use SeriesGovtCalcExpendTot%GDP to initialize total government expenditures.
Source: IMF GFS
Definition: Expenditure, government, total, as % of GDP
If null, then use SeriesGovTotalOutlays%GDP
Source: OECD Statistics Database Online
Definition: Government total outlays (% of GDP), including forecast
Hard code 46 in for Ireland in 2010 because of bailout.
If no data on total expenditures still, then we cannot estimate local so we use this equation:
If IsNull(CGovTotExp) Then
CGovExpLocal(ICount%) = 2 + 12 * Amin(20, CGDPPCP(ICount%)) / 20
Else
CGovExpLocal(ICount%) = AMAX(1, CGovTotExp - GovExpCentral)
End If
CGovExp(ICount%) = GovExpCentral + CGovExpLocal(ICount%) 'Add Central plus local to get total
' Go to total govt expenditures and filling holes when have data in order to compute local govt
' When do not have total and therefore ability to compute local govt,
' estimate at 2-14% of GDP (OECD gap between total and central is 14%)
' North, Walli, Weingast p. 10 have table showing grows from 1-2% to 16%
Central government revenue
GovRevCen is initialized using SeriesGovtCurRev%GDP
If it's null or less than 5 then we use GDP per capita to estimate.
GovRevTot is initialized using SeriesGovtCalcRevTot%GDP - this is data from GFS
CFirmTaxR (firm tax rate) is initialized using SeriesTaxCorp%Tot
CSSWelTaxR (social security tax) is initialized using SeriesTaxSocSec%CurRev
CIndirectTaxR is initialized using SeriesTaxGoodSer%CurRev
Household taxes (CHHTaxR) estimated as residual from firm, welfare, and indirect taxes
Transfers
CGovSSWel is initialized using SeriesGovSSWelBen%Exp
Reconciliation
' Govcon+SSWEL=GOVEXP; give priority first to boosting Govcon, then reducing sswel, then boosting Govexp
'i.e. protext all of govcon and boost if possible; reduce sswel as needed; reduce govexp after sswel
Pensions
CGovHHPenT is initalized using GovPenTbl
Reconcile with trade
' Now have final CGOVCON
' Normalize Expenditure Components to 100% - (X-M)
Split into sectors
Government consumption
' Split Government Consumption and Investment into Sectors of Origin
' ------------------------------------------------------------------
For ICount% = 1 To CCount
GMN(ICount%) = 0.1 * CGCon(ICount%) 'Manufacturing spending assumed to be 10% of conumption
GSR(ICount%) = 0.9 * CGCon(ICount%) 'Services spending assumed to be 90% of consumption
IMN(ICount%) = CINVEST(ICount%) * 0.5 'Manufacturing investment assumed to be 50% of investment
ISR(ICount%) = CINVEST(ICount%) * 0.5 'Services investment assumed to be 50% of investment
Next ICount%
Personal consumption
' Split Personal Consumption into Sectors - Use Value Added and AMAT
' ------------------------------------------------------------------
Use AMAT data to initalize personal consumption for agriculture, manufacturing, and services.
Adjust personal energy consumption based on world energy price and energy exports (exporters tend to consume more).
Initalize ICT personal consumption using ICTShare
Normalize with total consumption.