India 2017 Consolidation: Difference between revisions

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= Population Module =
= Population Module =


== Andaman and Nicobar Islands ==
== Model Vetting Using IIASA's India Model ==


=== Population ===
=== Andaman and Nicobar Islands ===
 
==== Population ====


In 2010 the IFs model's population is about 2% greater than IIASA's, but in 2015 Andaman and Nicobar Islands's population drops below IIASA's by about 9%. The IFs model's population forecasts are less than IIASA's by an increasing rate and by 2095 IFs's population forecast is by about 94%. 
In 2010 the IFs model's population is about 2% greater than IIASA's, but in 2015 Andaman and Nicobar Islands's population drops below IIASA's by about 9%. The IFs model's population forecasts are less than IIASA's by an increasing rate and by 2095 IFs's population forecast is by about 94%. 
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[[File:AndamanandNicobarIsPopIIASA.png|900px|AndamanandNicobarIsPopIIASA.png]]
[[File:AndamanandNicobarIsPopIIASA.png|900px|AndamanandNicobarIsPopIIASA.png]]


=== Crude Birth Rates ===
==== Crude Birth Rates ====


Andaman and Nicobar Island's Crude Birth Rates in IFs are close to IIASA's forecasts. In 2075 and 2080 IFs is less than IIASA by about 10%, but all other years the two models are less than 10% in difference. 
Andaman and Nicobar Island's Crude Birth Rates in IFs are close to IIASA's forecasts. In 2075 and 2080 IFs is less than IIASA by about 10%, but all other years the two models are less than 10% in difference. 
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[[File:AndamanandNicobarCBRIIASA.png|900px|AndamanandNicobarCBRIIASA.png]]
[[File:AndamanandNicobarCBRIIASA.png|900px|AndamanandNicobarCBRIIASA.png]]


=== Crude Death Rates ===
==== Crude Death Rates ====


The IFs model's CDRs are significantly greater than IIASA's forecasts. In 2015 the IFs model's CDRs are about 9% greater than IIASA's and by 2095 the difference grows to around 23%. 
The IFs model's CDRs are significantly greater than IIASA's forecasts. In 2015 the IFs model's CDRs are about 9% greater than IIASA's and by 2095 the difference grows to around 23%. 


[[File:AndamanandNicobarCDRIIASA.png|900px]]
[[File:AndamanandNicobarCDRIIASA.png|900px|AndamanandNicobarCDRIIASA.png]]

Revision as of 22:51, 6 June 2017

Population Module

Model Vetting Using IIASA's India Model

Andaman and Nicobar Islands

Population

In 2010 the IFs model's population is about 2% greater than IIASA's, but in 2015 Andaman and Nicobar Islands's population drops below IIASA's by about 9%. The IFs model's population forecasts are less than IIASA's by an increasing rate and by 2095 IFs's population forecast is by about 94%. 

AndamanandNicobarIsPopIIASA.png

Crude Birth Rates

Andaman and Nicobar Island's Crude Birth Rates in IFs are close to IIASA's forecasts. In 2075 and 2080 IFs is less than IIASA by about 10%, but all other years the two models are less than 10% in difference. 

AndamanandNicobarCBRIIASA.png

Crude Death Rates

The IFs model's CDRs are significantly greater than IIASA's forecasts. In 2015 the IFs model's CDRs are about 9% greater than IIASA's and by 2095 the difference grows to around 23%. 

AndamanandNicobarCDRIIASA.png